Date:Monday January 19 2009
Well I'm very chuffed with my 2-0 and Jason Scotland to score prediction, though I'm quite glad Pratley didn't. If he had been there in the box instead of Scotland at the end, I'm pretty sure I'd have been crying seeing as I didn't put any money on it and the odds would have been astronomical!
Anyway, it was a fantastic and well deserved victory, which I thoroughly enjoyed watching in a Parisien bar. Most of the locals were fascinated as to why there was one TV not on the Stoke v Liverpool game - it became apparent when I screamed at the TV at every opportunity. I actually discussed the match with a Frenchman who supported Birmingham, though he didn't seem to know too much about them. He was however, impressed with how we'd kept the ball, and played expansively.
In any case, given our loss to Reading in September, I thought I'd take a look at all the games Roberto Martinez has been in charge of so far, where we have lost the first league game against a team, and how we have fared in the second meeting. I'm not going to pay too much attention to the 06/07 games we lost, as there was a long time in between the two meetings, and Roberto was just weeks into the job.
Anyway, here goes:-
-Oldham 2-1 Swansea > Swansea 2-1 Oldham
-Swansea 1-2 Doncaster > Doncaster 0-4 Swansea
-Swansea 0-1 Huddersfield > Huddersfield 0-1 Swansea
-Leeds 2-0 Swansea > Swansea 3-2 Leeds
-Swansea 2-3 Birmingham > Birmingham 0-0 Swansea
Even adding in the 06/07 games-
-Millwall 2-0 Swansea > Millwall 2-2 Swansea (07/08)
-Swansea 3-6 Blackpool > Blackpool 1-1 Swansea (08/09)
Added to the well rehearsed statistic that we have never lost 2 consecutive league games under Roberto, must surely go the fact that at the time of writing, we have never lost to the same team twice. As shown above, each team we lost to in the first half of last season, we turned over on the second meeting, be it home or away. This season, even after losing to Birmingham at home having dominated the game, we went away and dominated there too, restricting a team in 3rd to just one shot on target all game, whereas we created 19 shooting opportunities.
Something we must appreciate more than perhaps we do about Roberto is that he seems to be able to work teams out, or motivate the Swans to ensure that the same result does not happen again. It is no fluke statistic the above, given that the teams we lost to were all teams there or thereabouts in the division. You can guarantee that if that record is in tact come the end of the season, we won't be far off the play-offs.
Tomorrow's game is very hard to call, however I can't help but fancy us and not just because of our record. Aside from the first 45 minutes away to Reading, there is no team we have failed to compete with and we've already gone to Birmingham and Wolves. Our home form is good in the sense that we very rarely lose there now. Our sole defeat came in a game where we lost two key players, and therefore our momentum. However, we haven't lost since then, and going without loss through November and December and so far January is no mean feat at this level even given all the draws.
So, I'm going to let my heart rule my head once more and go for a third win in a week, with the Swans triumphing 2-1, Jordi Gomez and our Jase doing the damage.
Dominic O'Shea writes articles on a variety of sports and you can read them on his website here
Date:Monday January 19 2009
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